Prediction of , index 1732
Prospective Prediction
- Prediction Index
- 1732
- Prediction Date
- Commercial Prediction
- FAILURE (commercially insufficient clinical benefit in OS non-superior to pembrolizumab + lenvatinib)
- Technical Prediction
- SUCCESS (statistically significant clinical benefit in ORR/PFS against placebo)
Readout of
Prediction Validation
- Readout Date
- Prediction To Readout
- 39 days in advance
- Readout Data Interpretation
- BNT327 achieved 25% cORR + 10.9-month mPFS as 2L for ccRCC; which is non-superior to 43% ORR + 14.6-month mPFS achieved by Lenvatinib + Everolimus (Lancet doi- 10.1016/S1470-2045(15)00290-9) and BNT327 achieved 36% cORR + 15.1-month mPFS as 1L for nccRCC; which is non-superior to 49% ORR + 17.9-month mPFS achieved by pembrolizumab + lenvatinib in KEYNOTE-B61 study (Lancet DOI- 10.1016/S1470-2045(23)00276-0).
- Press Release
- Press Release (finance.yahoo.com)
- Additional Readout Data
- Add'l Clinical Benefit Comparison Data (investors.biontech.de)
Prediction Result
- Prediction Accuracy
- Correct Prediction
- Clinical Benefit Conclusion
- statistically significant (against placebo) and commercially TBD
- Prediction Classification
- True Positive (TP)