Prediction of , index 1942
Prospective Prediction
- Prediction Index
- 1942
- Prediction Date
- Commercial Prediction
- FAILURE (commercially insufficient clinical benefit in OS as a monotherapy non-superior to SoC for non-CRC advanced solid tumors without further cMET-expression-based stratification) FAILURE (commercially insufficient additive clinical benefit to bevacizumab in OS as a combotherapy inferior to TAS102+bevacizumab for CRC without further cMET-expression-based stratification)
- Technical Prediction
- partial SUCCESS (statistically significant yet moderate (additive) clinical benefit in ORR/PFS compared with placebo without further cMET-expression-based stratification)
Readout of
Prediction Validation
- Readout Date
- Prediction To Readout
- 431 days in advance
- Readout Data Interpretation
- ABBV-400 achieved 4.6 months PFS and 10.4 months mOS for 3L+ mCRC patients, which are inferior to 5.6 months PFS and 10.8 months mOS achieved by the SoC Trifluridine/tipiracil (TAS102) + bevacizumab (see add'l link below)
- Press Release
- Press Release (ascopubs.org)
- Additional Readout Data
- Add'l Clinical Benefit Comparison Data (nejm.org)
Prediction Result
- Prediction Accuracy
- Correct Prediction
- Clinical Benefit Conclusion
- statistically significant yet commercially insufficient
- Prediction Classification
- True Negative (TN)